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Section 1: CPO Price Trend:
Global Oils & Fats Outlook 2018 on CPO Price Trend
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By: Marketing And Market Development Division, MPOC
The Marketing & Market Development Division spearheads the promotion and marketing activities of Malaysia Palm Oil in the effort to make it the leading oil in the global oils and fats market. The aim is to create and establish a positive image for Malaysia Palm Oil in order to maximise returns to the Malaysian palm oil industry.
Market Expansion
This Division enhances the growth of the Malaysia Palm Oil market through new developments and the expansion of existing markets. To compete successfully, innovative approaches are developed. Various proactive programmes targeting trade and consumer markets are carried out to extend into new markets. In addition, new opportunities for investment, cooperation abroad and joint marketing are constantly being sought out to obtain a greater market foothold.
Seminars
Trade fairs and seminars such as Palm Oil Trade Fair and Seminars (POTS) showcase the products and services of palm oil producers and sellers, while broadening their business opportunities. At these events, business contacts and participants are updated with information and knowledge about the palm oil industry.
Market Networking
The development of a market intelligence network, market linkages and awareness programmes helps foster closer ties with industry-related bodies. These strategies help to educate and influence those who have a keen interest in Malaysia Palm Oil, i.e. policy makers, the trade community, consumers, scientists, medical professionals and researchers. 
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This paper will analyse issues that will affect palm oil price in the second half of 2018 such as demand and supply analysis and we will also take into account the influence of the current rise in crude oil price on palm oil. Demand for palm oil from major consuming countries such as India, China, EU and USA are other factors taken into account. The regional analysis on the demand and supply scenarios will be aggregated at the global level to forecast the price, demand and supply balance in the second half of 2018.
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Section 1: CPO Price Trend |
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Archives |
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MITIGATING THE NEXT WAVE OF MARKET UNCERTAINTIES Nov 14, '22 ~ Nov 18, '22 |
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ASSESSING 2022: MANAGING OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS Mar 28, '22 ~ Apr 01, '22 |
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Section 2: Opportunities for Palm Oil in Asian Market Oct 18, '21 ~ Oct 24, '21 |
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Section 1: Oils & Fats Supply, Demand and Outlook Oct 18, '21 ~ Oct 24, '21 |
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Section 1: Price Direction Apr 05, '21 ~ Apr 11, '21 |
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Section 2 : Special Focus on the US Apr 05, '21 ~ Apr 11, '21 |
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POINTERS ON THE PRICE TRENDS Jun 22, '20 ~ Jun 28, '20 |
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Section 1 : CPO Price Trend Feb 24, '20 ~ Mar 01, '20 |
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Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Opportunities Feb 24, '20 ~ Mar 01, '20 |
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Section 2: Special Focus Aug 19, '19 ~ Aug 25, '19 |
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Section 1 : CPO Price Trend Aug 19, '19 ~ Aug 25, '19 |
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Special Focus - India Feb 25, '19 ~ Feb 24, '19 |
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Section 1: CPO Price Trend Feb 18, '19 ~ Feb 24, '19 |
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Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Focus Aug 06, '18 ~ Aug 12, '18 |
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Section 1: CPO Price Trend Aug 06, '18 ~ Aug 12, '18 |
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Section 2 : Global Palm Oil Market Focus Jan 29, '18 ~ Feb 04, '18 |
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Section 1: CPO Price Trend Jan 29, '18 ~ Feb 04, '18 |
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Section 2: Regional Focus : CIS Countries Aug 21, '17 ~ Aug 27, '17 |
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Section 1: Palm Oil Price Fundamentals Aug 21, '17 ~ Aug 27, '17 |
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Section 2: Market Challenges and Opportunities Feb 20, '17 ~ Feb 26, '17 |
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Section 1: Price Directions Feb 20, '17 ~ Feb 26, '17 |
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Section 1 : Palm Oil Price Fundamentals Aug 22, '16 ~ Aug 28, '16 |
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Section 2 : Trade Issues and Market Prospects Aug 22, '16 ~ Aug 28, '16 |
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2016 Market Direction - Twists and Turns of Palm Oil Prices Feb 22, '16 ~ Feb 29, '16 |
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Second Half 2015 - Anticipating Market Price Direction Aug 17, '15 ~ Aug 23, '15 |
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Special Focus: Indian Sub-Continent Aug 17, '15 ~ Aug 23, '15 |
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Opportunities, Challenges And Trend In 2015 CPO Price Feb 23, '15 ~ Mar 01, '15 |
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2nd Half 2014: Market Challenges, Predictions And Directions Aug 25, '14 ~ Aug 31, '14 |
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Anticipating 2014 Palm Oil Price Direction Feb 17, '14 ~ Feb 24, '14 |
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Prospects For Second Half Of 2013 - Managing Price Fluctuations Jul 22, '13 ~ Jul 29, '13 |
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Mapping The Palm Oil Price - 2013 Market Perspective Feb 18, '13 ~ Feb 27, '13 |
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Palm Oil : Challenges, Opportunities And Latest Market Directions Aug 06, '12 ~ Aug 17, '12 |
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2012 Price Direction, Issues & Challenges Feb 13, '12 ~ Feb 20, '12 |
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Challenges, Opportunities And Latest Price Trend Aug 08, '11 ~ Aug 16, '11 |
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Challenges, Opportunities And Price Direction Feb 07, '11 ~ Feb 17, '11 |
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2010 Year End Prospects - What Lies Ahead? Aug 02, '10 ~ Aug 08, '10 |
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The CPO v SBO price spread will likely favour higher palm oil demand. The China- US trade dispute will make China look towards other suppliers of soybeans especially from Brazil & Argentina. However, the supplies from these two countries will not be sufficient to replace the supply shortfall from USA. This will drive SBO price higher andwiden the price gap which will work in favour of palm oil and CPO price
5 years ago
CPKO is a lauric oil and its price is also influenced by the price and availability of coconut oil. Our forecast is that CPKO price will likely trade around RM3,500/MT until end of the year as the higher expected output of palm oil and coconut oil is factored in. In 2019 it should remain steady within a narrow price band of 7% to 10% variance. At this point we do not foresee any new bearish factors which could adversely affect CPKO price.
5 years ago
Palm oil products are widely used in food processing and are generally the preferred choice due to the advantages they possessed in their semi solid and solid consistencies with varying melting points. Solid fats are normally required in processed food products for their functionality and stability. Palm and palm products have the natural solids required whereas other vegetable oils lack consistency and hence required to be hydrogenated which is expensive and produces trans fat as a result. Some products for food processing may be of general formulations suited for general purpose use while others required specific formulations pertinent to the specific requirements demanded by the foods. From the processing viewpoint, technical promotional efforts are required especially in the emerging markets where one of the key elements is to develop the food industries. Palm oil is definitely the natural choice and adoption of the recipes or formulations well suited to the process will enhance demand for more palm oil. The adoption of such products are less subjected to seasonal changes and could be use throughout the year.
5 years ago
Thank you for your question Based on Oil World data, Egypt imported 816,000 tonnes palm oil in 2017. As for palm oil imports from Malaysia, in 2017 Egypt imported 192,000 tonnes while in the first 6 months of 2018, Egypt imported 42,000 tonnes palm oil from Malaysia
5 years ago
Malaysia is on track to produce 20.3 million MT palm oil in 2018 as we are now into our peak production months. As for the 38.9 MT from Indonesia, it covers palm oil and does not include CPKO.
5 years ago
1. Global palm oil production is forecast at 70 million tonnes in 2018 while in 2019 we forecast that it could reach 74 million tonnes 2. Palm oil price will move very slightly upwards over the next few weeks as Malaysia will be in the peak production months which may hamper any price recovery 3. The price range for this year will be at an average of RM2,410/MT while for 2019 it could reach as high as RM2,800/MT as the soybean trade war will have an impact on edible oil prices worldwide 4. India is not likely to reduce import duties in the near future as it is a protection measure for their domestic farmers and refiners. 5. China will likely import more palm oil as a result of their trade dispute with US as it would affect their soybeans import. To satisfy their requirement for oils and fats, palm oil is the most affordable oil in the market and may see higher demand from China.
5 years ago
Palm oil price will likely be on a slight upward trend over the next two years and may even breach RM3,000/tonne by 2020. As for the next 5 years, palm oil price could fluctuate between a wide price range.
5 years ago
Based on our SUR, it has always had an inverse relationship to CPO prices thus a lower SUR would lead to higher CPO prices
5 years ago
Market trend for palm kernel oil has always been on an increasing trend. Palm kernel oil is a lauric oil used mainly in the oleochemical and manufacture of soaps, washing powders and personal care products
5 years ago
The formula used is Ending Stocks / (Consumption+Exports)
5 years ago
Currently the US-China trade dispute has not had any immediate impact on edible oil prices. Whatever happens will be highly speculative in nature. Nevertheless, in the months ahead though, China will struggle to replace the U.S. beans, forcing them to pay either the extra duty or find substitutes which may make them look to palm oil for supplies
5 years ago
The standard planting for palm oil is between 140 to 147 trees per hectare
5 years ago