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POINTERS
ORGANIZED BY:
Second Half 2015 - Anticipating Market Price Direction:
US Soy Complex Situation Report and Proposed RFS Mandate
Ms. Sue Goll
Sue Goll is an agricultural consultant with over 25 years of experience as a cash grain merchandiser and futures industry participant. She worked at A.E. Staley for over six years as a grain merchandiser, trading soybeans, soymeal and corn out of the Des Moines, Iowa soybean processing plant, and the Lafayette, Indiana wet milling corn plant. As Grain Division Manager in Lafayette, Indiana, Ms. Goll oversaw grain merchandising, basis trading, truck and rail logistics, contracting with specialty corn growers and originated corn for two wet milling plants. She also managed offsetting hedge and spread strategies for the Lafayette futures position. Ms. Goll spent the next two years as a farm market advisor for a farm advisory firm assisting producers in cost of production analysis, grain storage management, marketing their crops using cash contracts, as well as, hedging with futures and options contracts. She joined the Chicago Board of Trade in 1989. During her six years with the exchange, she traveled worldwide teaching the use of agricultural futures and options markets. Ms. Goll travelled extensively to SE Asia, as well as Europe, working with producers and commercial businesses as they learned to apply futures and options markets to their cash market activities. Additionally, she specialized in the writings of educational materials and authored booklets for the commercial hedger, her primary focas being the practical use and application of futures and options markets. Her first hand knowledge and use of this complex subject matter and ability to simplify for practical application is what has made her work sought-after around the world. Also while with the Chicago Board of Trade, Ms. Goll worked in product development and marketing, speaking to agricultural businesses and diplomats worldwide on the benefits of futures and options markets. She designed extensive marketing campaigns for various products as well. Sue Goll has been self-employed as a consultant since 1995. In this capacity, she works with domestic and foreign businesses teaching cash/physical market fundamentals, the practical use of futures and options, and writing technical materials for publication. Ms. Goll has worked with clients in multiple countries including SE. Asia, Asia, S. Africa, Europe, S. America and the United States. Over her career, Ms. Goll has been a member of various Grain and Feed organizations and the National Grain and Feed Association. Goll is a graduate in Agricultural Economics from The Ohio State University. She graduated with honors, was a member of Towers Honorary and Sigma Alfa professional agricultural sorority.
VIEW PROFILE
The world soybean market has been one of relative high volatility since 2000. Shortages in some parts of the world, surpluses in others along with unprecedented demand has created an ever-changing market.

Adding further to the complexity (and uncertainty) of the market, in a recent proposal, the EPA has called for an increase in U.S. biofuel production. Having scrapped its 2014 proposal, which kept the biodiesel target at 1.28 billion gallons for 2014 & 2015, the EPA is proposing a biomass-based diesel production of 1.63 billion gallons—the amount produced in 2014. Biomass-based diesel production is made from soybean oil, animal fats and used cooking grease. It also requires refiners to use 1.7 billion gallons in 2015, 1.8 billion gallons in 2016 and 1.9 billion gallons in 2017.
According to the EPA, the proposed increase "will both contribute to market stability for the renewable fuels program and continue to promote a growing and competitive advanced biofuels marketplace.”
This presentation will explore both current & historical soy complex activity as well as a look at the relatively new demand arena of EPA RFS proposed mandates.

A Power Point Presentation that includes:

Graphs & Charts—Soybean Supply & Demand
US & World Supply Charts-Current & Historical
US & World Use Charts--Current & Historical
World & US Ending Stocks
Stocks To Use Ratio


Newly proposed RFS mandate

Verbal explanation of Soy Complex Graphs/Charts & Potential Effect of proposed RFS Mandate on the soy market.
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